Economic Index Background

Decision Analyst's Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey designed to produce a snapshot of current U.S. economic activity, as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the respective countries.

The Index itself is calculated from nine different economic measurements, using a sophisticated econometric model. The nine measures are:

  • Expected trend for stocks and mutual funds over the next six months
  • Availability of new jobs in region
  • Price trends for goods and services
  • Respondents' employment status
  • Expectations of layoffs and staff reductions at place of employment
  • Changes in staffing levels at place of work
  • Estimate of current level of business activity at place of work
  • Credit availability (relationship of spending to available credit limits)
  • Purchase intent over next 12 months for high-ticket items

These measures are compiled from an online survey of several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The survey is conducted during the last 10 days of each month, and the new Index value is calculated immediately thereafter.

Interpreting The Index

Although the Economic Index is not a precise measure of absolute economic activity, it is nonetheless a remarkably powerful tool for understanding and predicting the economy. With its emphasis on measuring consumer opinions and perceptions, it provides genuine insight into that great intangible behind economic growth—confidence. There are two ways of interpreting the Economic Index. First, its "direction"—whether it is rising or falling. Second, the values themselves provide a reliable guide—when the Index is greater than 110, it tends to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 100 to 110 suggests a stagnant economy, and below 100 generally indicates economic contraction.

The International Index

Alongside the main U.S. Economic Index, Decision Analyst also conducts concurrent economic surveys in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, United Kingdom, United States, and Venezuela. The Economic Index for the United States can be viewed on our Press Release Archives.

2024 Release Dates

Month of Data Collection Scheduled Release Date
December 2023 January 9, 2024
January 2024 February 9
February March 8
March April 9
April May 9
May June 7
June July 9
July August 9
August September 9
September October 9
October November 8
November December 9

View Press Room.

For additional information, or to subscribe to our advanced release list, Contact:
Cristi Allen
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011

Contact Decision Analyst

If you would like more information on Marketing Research, please contact Jerry W. Thomas by emailing or calling 1-817-640-6166.