Decision Analyst’s Economic Index U.S. Census Divisions May 2017

The Economic Indices for the U.S. Census Divisions have increased or stayed the same in the past 12 months. The West South Central and the Pacific Divisions are tied for the highest score of all the Census Divisions, with an Index score of 115 for May 2017. The West South Central Census Division had the largest increase over the past 12 months, increasing 9 points. The New England Division had the lowest Index score, 108 for May 2017.

May 2017 US Census Divisions Economic Index

United States Economic Index

The Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index stood at 114 in May 2017, a 3-point increase from its April 2017 level of 111. This increase reverses a four-month decline in the Index. The overall pattern of the Economic Index over the past 12 months is clearly upward, reaffirming that the U.S. economy is likely to expand throughout 2017, assuming events in Washington, D.C., do not deflect the U.S. economy from its upward momentum. The Economic Index tends to lead U.S. economic activity by 6 to 12 months. Below is the past-10-year history of the U.S. Economic Index.

May 2017 US Economic Index


“The U.S. Economic Index is up 4 points over the past 12 months, an indication of moderate economic expansion and an indicator of continued GDP growth throughout 2017,” said Jerry W. Thomas, President/CEO of Decision Analyst. “The greatest risks to the overall U.S. economy during the next 12 months are a stock market crash (it's overpriced), uncertainty related to a new administration in Washington, the possibility of trade wars or trade disruptions, and the possibility of U.S. political or budget crises. The positive forces for improvements in the U.S. economy in coming months are growth in the world economy, continuing low energy costs, relatively benign inflation, and a likely increase in spending on capital investments by major U.S. corporations.”

Index History

The division-by-division results are presented in the graphs below. Remember, the Census Division graphs portray 3-month moving averages.

May 2017 New England Census Division

May 2017 Middle Atlantic Census Division

May 2017 East North Central Census Division

May 2017 West North Central Census Division

May 2017 South Atlantic Census Division

May 2017 East South Central Census Division

May 2017 West South Central Census Division

May 2017 Mountain Census Division

May 2017 Pacific Census Division

*Census Division Three-Month Moving Average

The Index numbers for the census divisions are three-month moving averages to smooth out fluctuations due to smaller sample sizes. The reported Index number averages the current month with the two previous months.


The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly online survey of several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The scientific survey is conducted in the last 10 days of each month. The Economic Index is calculated from 9 different economic measurements using a sophisticated econometric model. The result is a snapshot of coming economic activity in each country surveyed, as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the respective countries.

Decision Analyst conducts its concurrent economic surveys each month in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Peru, the Russian Federation, Spain, United Kingdom, and the United States. Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 90 to 110 suggests a no-growth or slow-growth economy, and near or below 90 generally indicates economic contraction. These guidelines vary by country, however.

About Decision Analyst

Decision Analyst ( is a global marketing research and analytical consulting firm specializing in strategy research, new product development, advertising testing, and advanced modeling for marketing decision optimization. For over 35 years, the firm has delivered competitive advantage to clients throughout the world in consumer packaged goods, telecommunications, retail, technology, medical, and automotive industries.

Media Contact

Cristi Allen
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011

Download the PDF File

Download PDF file

Interactive Economic Index

Decision Analyst Economic Index

Click on the map above to open Decision Analyst's Interactive Map for the United States and its nine census divisions.

Logos & Images

If you are doing a story on Decision Analyst or using any of our published data, news releases or articles, you must cite "Decision Analyst" as the source of the information.

If you use any of the charts or tables from the press releases or other published materials, please email Cristi Allen at to let us know which graphics you took and for what newspaper, magazine, or website it was used.